Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0cf8…180d
sports · 172 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$234 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$228 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$84
Realized−$228
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses87 / 76
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions9
Markets (closed)163 / 172
History coverage71d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day5.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 9 History 163 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$2
14 days−$95
30 days−$185
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes 87¢ 82¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-14%)
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes 73¢ 56¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-23%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes 11¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-45%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-71%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage GLYPH 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Team Falcons 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner Team Falcons 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Xtreme Gaming 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Falcons 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage OG 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs Yakult Brothers 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs LGD Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs LGD Gaming 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 $0 -12%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30? Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $4 $0 +5%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $8 $0 +1%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII? Jun 07 $1 $0 +3%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $3 −$1 -33%
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun Jun 06 $1 $0 -4%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 1 above $50? Jun 05 $5 $0 +2%
Will Meta (META) finish week of June 1 above $580? Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 1 above $285? Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 4? Jun 04 $3 $0 +0%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $1 +$1 +93%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $6 −$1 -16%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $385 on June 3? Jun 03 $1 $0 +1%
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Wester Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $385 on June 2? Jun 02 $1 $0 +1%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on June 2? Jun 02 $1 $0 +2%
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on June 2? Jun 02 $1 $0 +1%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on June 2? Jun 02 $1 $0 +1%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Jun 02 $2 $0 +22%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs KO (BO3) - Esports World Cup MESWA Closed Qual Jun 02 $1 $0 +1%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1? Jun 01 $1 $0 +1%
Will Meta (META) close above $620 on June 1? Jun 01 $1 $0 +14%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $395 on June 1? Jun 01 $9 $0 +1%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on June 1? Jun 01 $1 $0 +1%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on June 1? Jun 01 $1 +$5 +525%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $185? Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $7 +$6 +86%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualif May 30 $2 +$2 +98%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier May 30 $11 $0 -2%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $52 −$51 -98%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $53 −$51 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET May 30 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 30 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 30 $13 −$8 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 30 $4 $0 -8%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $25 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 53% −$136
other 27% −$67
crypto 9% −$27
tech 9% −$6
finance 1% $0
world 1% +$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $2 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 13¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $4 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 32h
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $1 32h
OpenAI IPO before 2027? BUY Yes 73¢ $5 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Yandex 97¢ $4 5d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Yandex 92¢ $4 5d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Yandex 100¢ $4 5d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Yandex 99¢ $4 5d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Yandex 91¢ $4 5d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Yandex 90¢ $4 5d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 33¢ $1 5d
Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII? SELL Yes 34¢ $1 5d
Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs SELL LGD Gaming 99¢ $2 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 32¢ $1 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 42¢ $1 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs SELL LGD Gaming 50¢ $1 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 42¢ $1 5d
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? SELL Yes 99¢ $5 5d
Anthropic IPO before 2027? BUY Yes 87¢ $15 7d
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL Yes 6¢ $1 7d
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 7d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $2 7d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Team Falcons 41¢ $2 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-25.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +6.8% -3.4% 70% 20% -3.6%
≤30d 66 -23.8% -31.1% 48% 17% -54.9%
≤90d 163 -17.2% -25.1% 53% 25% -42.1%
all 163 -17.2% -25.1% 53% 25% -42.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.1% 25% -42.1%
10% -32.2% 20% -47.7%
15% -38.8% 15% -52.7%
20% -44.8% 12% -57.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $83.96 · official $83.96 (match) · 421 history records