Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:19:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0cf2…2b5a
other · 32 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$27 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses1 / 31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage543d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit47%
Chart Positions 0 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 14 $5 $0 -0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no May 21 $12 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 30 $7 $0 -0%
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 16 $7 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Feb 25 $8 $0 -0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 28 $6 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? Dec 24 $8 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? Nov 25 $7 $0 -0%
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 28 $7 $0 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 21 $7 $0 -2%
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? Aug 23 $1 $0 +0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? Aug 18 $6 $0 -0%
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 23 $5 $0 -0%
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 17 $6 $0 -0%
Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League? Jul 17 $0 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 16 $1 $0 +0%
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 15 $5 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Jun 15 $13 $0 -0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series? Jun 09 $6 $0 -0%
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025? May 10 $5 $0 -0%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025? Apr 24 $5 $0 -0%
Will Sparta Prague win the UEFA Champions League? Apr 24 $8 $0 +0%
Flyers vs. Sabres Apr 19 $36 +$28 +75%
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? Mar 25 $7 $0 -0%
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? Feb 20 $7 $0 +0%
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Jan 08 $5 $0 +0%
Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Jan 04 $1 $0 +0%
Newcastle United wins the Premier League? Dec 26 $0 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Dec 18 $112 $0 +0%
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals? Dec 18 $31 $0 -0%
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League? Dec 18 $28 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 55% $0
sports 33% +$27
politics 12% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no SELL No 99¢ $6 24d
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no BUY No 99¢ $6 24d
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no SELL No 99¢ $6 48d
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no BUY No 99¢ $6 48d
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $7 76d
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $7 76d
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $7 90d
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $7 90d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 98¢ $8 109d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $8 109d
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $6 137d
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $6 137d
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 97¢ $8 172d
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 98¢ $8 172d
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 99¢ $7 201d
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 100¢ $7 201d
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 100¢ $7 228d
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 100¢ $7 228d
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 97¢ $7 236d
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 98¢ $7 256d
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 294d
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 294d
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 295d
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 99¢ $6 299d
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 99¢ $6 299d
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 99¢ $5 326d
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 99¢ $5 326d
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 99¢ $5 332d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 2 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 3 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 32 +2.2% -7.5% 3% 3% -2.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.5% 3% -2.8%
10% -16.4% 3% -12.1%
15% -24.4% 3% -20.6%
20% -31.8% 3% -28.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 87 history records