Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:44:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0cf2…ba52
crypto · 638 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,539 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,544 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$120
Realized+$3,544
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses303 / 334
Open positions1
Markets (closed)637 / 638
History coverage43d
Avg bet$98
Trades / day66.2
Drawdown54%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 637 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$111
7 days+$2,152
14 days+$1,257
30 days+$4,949
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 44¢ 42¢ $126 $120 −$5 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $230 −$230 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $247 −$247 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $401 −$401 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $159 +$69 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$43 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$29 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $202 +$90 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $95 +$50 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $136 +$89 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$35 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$45 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $275 −$275 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $125 +$53 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $78 +$12 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $185 +$166 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$34 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $303 −$8 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$105 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $82 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$13 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$45 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $348 −$20 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $126 +$43 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $128 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$63 +169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $89 −$75 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$13 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $492 +$108 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $153 +$62 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $159 −$126 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$31 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$18 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $140 +$82 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $225 +$74 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $204 +$163 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$85 +94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,539
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $29 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $96 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $181 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $195 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $43 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $71 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $236 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $57 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $38 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $86 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $62 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 +18.2% +6.9% 59% 56% +7.3%
≤30d 355 +15.2% +4.2% 51% 48% +3.2%
≤90d 637 +0.6% -9.0% 48% 43% -4.4%
all 637 +0.6% -9.0% 48% 43% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 43% -4.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 40% -13.5%
15% -25.6% 37% -21.9%
20% -32.9% 31% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $120.42 · official $77.92 · 3500 history records