trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -19.0% | -26.7% | 0% | 0% | -26.7% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -19.0% | -26.7% | 0% | 0% | -26.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 50% | 20% | -14.1% |
| all | 10 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 50% | 20% | -14.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 20% | -14.1% |
| 10% | -21.2% | 10% | -22.3% |
| 15% | -28.8% | 0% | -29.8% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 0% | -36.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $239 | −$45 | -19% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 17 | $358 | −$7 | -2% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | May 13 | $179 | +$14 | +8% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | May 06 | $95 | +$7 | +7% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 04 | $140 | −$9 | -6% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 28 | $134 | +$5 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | Apr 26 | $114 | −$75 | -66% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 23 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 22 | $100 | +$15 | +15% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | Apr 22 | $80 | +$18 | +22% |