Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:43:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0ce6…6bb5
crypto · 832 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,049 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,010 · open −$39
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized−$9,010
Unrealized−$39
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses373 / 583
Open positions2
Markets (closed)956 / 832
History coverage15d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day234.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 956 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,454
7 days−$10,160
14 days−$8,775
30 days−$9,010
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 66¢ 56¢ $47 $39 −$8 (-16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $36 $5 −$31 (-86%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$55 +9893%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$40 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$40 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$58 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,523
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $38 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $11 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $14 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $28 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $21 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $45 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $58 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $49 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $12 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $12 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $6 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 549 -22.2% -29.6% 29% 28% -43.9%
≤30d 956 -7.2% -16.0% 39% 37% -27.1%
≤90d 956 -7.2% -16.0% 39% 37% -27.1%
all 956 -7.2% -16.0% 39% 37% -27.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover234.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 37% -27.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 32% -34.1%
15% -31.4% 27% -40.5%
20% -38.1% 22% -46.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.40 · official $47.24 · 3500 history records