trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 50% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 38% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 38% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 25 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 44% | 0% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.5% | 0% | -11.5% |
| 10% | -22.7% | 0% | -20.0% |
| 15% | -30.2% | 0% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 0% | -34.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 20 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 19 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $38 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $12 | $0 | -3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 13 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $11 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 11 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 10 | $16 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York | Dec 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet 140–154 times May 30–June 6? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April? | May 05 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 18 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025? | Apr 17 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 16 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 13 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next C | Apr 12 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 64-65°F on March 22? | Mar 22 | $14 | −$4 | -32% |