trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 14% | 0% | -12.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -1.6% | -10.9% | 22% | 11% | -11.4% |
| all | 25 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 36% | 4% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.7% | 4% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -20.1% | 0% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -27.9% | 0% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -34.9% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 26 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $23 | −$2 | -7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 25 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 25 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $19 | −$2 | -10% |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 25 | $2 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 24 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03? | Jan 31 | $7 | −$4 | -53% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Dec 24 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025? | Dec 20 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30? | Nov 25 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 14 | $32 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Aug 22 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Cynthia Ní Mhurchú win the Irish Presidential Election? | Aug 21 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025? | Aug 20 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 20 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Aug 20 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August? | Aug 20 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025? | Aug 19 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025? | Aug 19 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Aug 19 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Aug 19 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Barry Andrews win the Irish Presidential Election? | Aug 19 | $43 | $0 | -0% |