Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:57:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0ca3…8109
weather · 215 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,033 -47%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$953 · open −$80
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,490
Realized−$953
Unrealized−$80
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses2 / 126
Open positions165
Markets (closed)128 / 215
History coverage3d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day1061.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 165 History 128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$331
7 days−$953
14 days−$953
30 days−$953
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 14? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $32 $40 +$8 (+24%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 14? Yes 5¢ 7¢ $24 $35 +$11 (+43%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 14? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $37 $33 −$4 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 13? Yes 5¢ 7¢ $23 $33 +$10 (+43%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $26 $33 +$7 (+25%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 13? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $35 $32 −$2 (-6%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14? Yes 4¢ 6¢ $24 $32 +$7 (+30%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $27 $30 +$3 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 13? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $35 $29 −$5 (-15%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $27 $29 +$2 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $23 $27 +$4 (+18%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 14? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $29 $27 −$2 (-6%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 13? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $21 $27 +$6 (+26%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 13? Yes 5¢ 7¢ $20 $27 +$7 (+35%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 14? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $22 $26 +$4 (+19%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 14? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $26 $25 −$1 (-6%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 14? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $23 $24 +$1 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 13? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $26 $24 −$2 (-8%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? Yes 6¢ 25¢ $6 $24 +$18 (+281%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $21 $23 +$2 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 13? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $27 $23 −$4 (-16%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $21 $22 +$1 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 13? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $18 $22 +$4 (+23%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 14? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $23 $22 −$1 (-5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C or higher on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 10? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 9? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 9? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 10? Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on June 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on June 10? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 9? Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 10? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 11? Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 9? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 10? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 9? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 9? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 10? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 9? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on June 9? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 10? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 9? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 10? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 10? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 9? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$836
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 0m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 14? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 14? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 2m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 14? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 2m
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 14? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju BUY Yes 5¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on Ju BUY Yes 3¢ $1 2m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 14? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 2m
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 14? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 2m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 2m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 86°F or higher on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 2m
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 2m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 3m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 3m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June BUY Yes 4¢ $0 3m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 14? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 3m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 14? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 3m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 4m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 5m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 5m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 5m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 5m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 14? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 6m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 13? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-73.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 -71.2% -73.9% 2% 2% -89.8%
≤30d 128 -71.2% -73.9% 2% 2% -89.8%
≤90d 128 -71.2% -73.9% 2% 2% -89.8%
all 128 -71.2% -73.9% 2% 2% -89.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1061.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -73.9% 2% -89.8%
10% ← realistic here -76.4% 2% -90.8%
15% -78.7% 2% -91.7%
20% -80.8% 2% -92.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,490.32 · official $1,490.51 (match) · 3500 history records