Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T01:33:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0C 0x0c9c…93ef crypto 58 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (106 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$59 (+1%) realized +$59 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate81%47W / 11L
Drawdown94%max
Avg bet$93per market
Trades / day106.0pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% +$29
other 2% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (106 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -0.0% -9.5% 81% 50% -8.8%
≤30d 58 -0.0% -9.5% 81% 50% -8.8%
≤90d 58 -0.0% -9.5% 81% 50% -8.8%
all 58 -0.0% -9.5% 81% 50% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover106.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 50% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 26% -17.6%
15% -26.1% 16% -25.5%
20% -33.3% 7% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
38% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$62 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses47 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)58 / 58
History coverage1d
Avg bet$93
Trades / day106.0
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 58 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 26 $105 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 26 $99 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 26 $103 −$101 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 26 $47 +$21 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 26 $186 −$184 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 26 $75 +$7 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 26 $175 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 26 $433 −$108 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 26 $101 +$43 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 26 $276 +$44 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 26 $52 +$9 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 26 $155 +$34 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 26 $229 −$205 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 26 $292 +$44 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 26 $165 +$98 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 26 $470 +$25 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 26 $170 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 26 $139 +$25 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 26 $48 +$30 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 26 $51 +$7 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 26 $68 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 26 $182 +$48 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 25 $71 −$55 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 25 $131 +$20 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 25 $62 +$7 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 25 $93 +$5 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 25 $105 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 25 $100 +$41 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 25 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 25 $96 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 25 $89 +$23 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 25 $79 +$11 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 25 $34 +$23 +67%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 25 $66 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 25 $61 +$10 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 25 $59 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 25 $58 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$12 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 25 $75 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 25 $44 +$11 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 25 $38 +$13 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 25 $35 +$6 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 25 $32 +$5 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 25 $60 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 25 $31 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 25 $26 +$11 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 25 $38 +$12 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $108 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $105 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $105 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $99 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $103 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $68 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $47 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $186 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $32 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $43 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $175 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $345 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $320 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $114 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $74 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $69 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $101 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $73 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $49 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $66 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $88 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $61 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $52 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $189 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $155 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $25 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $130 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $336 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $58 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 135 history records