Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:59:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c99…0c88
sports · 494 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$18,541 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$17,900 · open +$557
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$12,262
Realized+$17,900
Unrealized+$557
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses252 / 218
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$5,018
Open positions26
Markets (closed)470 / 494
History coverage4d
Avg bet$722
Trades / day710.9
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 26 History 470 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8,984
7 days+$17,900
14 days+$17,900
30 days+$17,900
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 75¢ 87¢ $1,500 $1,740 +$240 (+16%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 Under 45¢ 94¢ $632 $1,326 +$694 (+110%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 Under 46¢ 95¢ $626 $1,295 +$669 (+107%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 60¢ 64¢ $1,200 $1,290 +$90 (+7%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 48¢ 56¢ $962 $1,110 +$148 (+15%)
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Spurs 45¢ 42¢ $893 $830 −$63 (-7%)
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Spurs 47¢ 39¢ $939 $780 −$159 (-17%)
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Spurs 50¢ 48¢ $627 $606 −$22 (-3%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 Under 44¢ 89¢ $282 $571 +$288 (+102%)
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Spurs 46¢ 28¢ $920 $570 −$350 (-38%)
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Spurs 48¢ 26¢ $919 $487 −$432 (-47%)
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Spurs 48¢ 31¢ $603 $392 −$210 (-35%)
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Spurs 51¢ 52¢ $322 $331 +$9 (+3%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 17¢ 76¢ $64 $290 +$226 (+350%)
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Spurs 41¢ 28¢ $261 $178 −$83 (-32%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 33¢ 24¢ $209 $155 −$53 (-26%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5 Under 48¢ 86¢ $68 $121 +$53 (+78%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 Under 45¢ 87¢ $48 $93 +$44 (+92%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Under 48¢ 96¢ $22 $44 +$22 (+100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 Under 45¢ 94¢ $15 $31 +$16 (+110%)
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) Spurs 44¢ 18¢ $22 $9 −$13 (-60%)
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Knicks 41¢ 42¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Set 1 Winner: Siniakova vs Yuan Siniakova 57¢ 74¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+31%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 31¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+219%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Viktorija Golubic 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 14 $56 +$24 +43%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $580 +$795 +137%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 14 $773 +$1,276 +165%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1,693 +$307 +18%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5,659 +$2,667 +47%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3,067 −$786 -26%
Game Handicap: ES (-2.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+2.5) Jun 13 $14 +$6 +39%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,550 −$1,483 -96%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1,200 +$800 +67%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $37 +$35 +94%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $794 −$780 -98%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $4 +$1 +37%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) Jun 13 $1,548 −$281 -18%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2,872 +$938 +33%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $1,380 −$1,380 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $264 −$165 -63%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Jun 13 $1,362 +$558 +41%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $1,016 +$984 +97%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $81 +$129 +160%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $3,944 −$1,663 -42%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $805 −$708 -88%
Viktorija Golubic vs. Veronika Erjavec: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +188%
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5) Jun 13 $16 +$10 +61%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $794 −$780 -98%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $1,036 +$964 +93%
Set 1 Winner: Sonmez vs Tararudee Jun 13 $311 −$307 -99%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $2,721 +$1,049 +39%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,538 +$1,664 +108%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $1,382 +$764 +55%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 13 $1,039 −$1,039 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $325 −$222 -68%
Set Handicap: Giron (-1.5) vs Evans (+1.5) Jun 13 $185 +$140 +75%
Set Handicap: Preston (-1.5) vs Selekhmeteva (+1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $1,306 −$267 -20%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$3 -57%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $234 +$184 +79%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $3,869 +$110 +3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $735 −$683 -93%
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Set Handicap: Golubic (-1.5) vs Erjavec (+1.5) Jun 13 $97 −$81 -84%
Set Handicap: Kovacevic (-1.5) vs Mmoh (+1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Mannarino vs Minaur Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Set Handicap: Shevchenko (-1.5) vs Sachko (+1.5) Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Set Handicap: Perricard (-1.5) vs Monday (+1.5) Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Marcinko vs Ito Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$19,035
other 0% −$578
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Spurs 44¢ $9 2m
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) BUY Spurs 42¢ $292 20m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 47¢ $195 24m
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Spurs 51¢ $8 24m
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Spurs 51¢ $248 24m
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Spurs 51¢ $7 24m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 53¢ $10 26m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 52¢ $24 28m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 52¢ $5 28m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 52¢ $3 28m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 52¢ $20 28m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 52¢ $840 29m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 48¢ $6 29m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 48¢ $38 29m
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) BUY Spurs 45¢ $257 29m
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) BUY Spurs 45¢ $4 29m
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) BUY Spurs 45¢ $13 29m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 52¢ $46 29m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 52¢ $40 29m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 52¢ $10 29m
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) BUY Spurs 47¢ $327 30m
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) BUY Spurs 41¢ $9 31m
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) BUY Spurs 45¢ $50 32m
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) BUY Spurs 45¢ $2 32m
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) BUY Spurs 45¢ $44 32m
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) BUY Spurs 45¢ $5 32m
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) BUY Spurs 45¢ $1 32m
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) BUY Spurs 45¢ $173 32m
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) BUY Spurs 45¢ $46 32m
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) BUY Spurs 41¢ $250 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-0.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 470 +9.6% -0.9% 54% 52% -4.6%
≤30d 470 +9.6% -0.9% 54% 52% -4.6%
≤90d 470 +9.6% -0.9% 54% 52% -4.6%
all 470 +9.6% -0.9% 54% 52% -4.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover710.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.9% 52% -4.6%
10% -10.4% 48% -13.7%
15% ← realistic here -19.0% 42% -22.1%
20% -27.0% 34% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12,261.70 · official $12,223.18 (match) · 3500 history records