Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:51:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0C 0x0c83…9715 crypto 492 markets active 0h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (288 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$72 (-1%) realized −$72 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate71%347W / 145L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day287.9pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$213
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (288 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 492 +2.8% -7.0% 71% 53% -12.2%
≤30d 492 +2.8% -7.0% 71% 53% -12.2%
≤90d 492 +2.8% -7.0% 71% 53% -12.2%
all 492 +2.8% -7.0% 71% 53% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover287.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 53% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 38% -20.6%
15% -24.0% 24% -28.3%
20% -31.5% 9% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$9 · ×0.35 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$72
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses347 / 145
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)492 / 492
History coverage4d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day287.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 492 Trades
no open positions (50 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$2 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $26 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $38 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $44 −$4 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$4 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$19 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$16 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $7 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $6 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1536 history records