trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -53.2% | -57.7% | 20% | 20% | -55.3% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -53.2% | -57.7% | 20% | 20% | -55.3% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -53.2% | -57.7% | 20% | 20% | -55.3% |
| all | 12 | -43.2% | -48.6% | 25% | 25% | -33.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -48.6% | 25% | -33.7% |
| 10% | -53.5% | 25% | -40.0% |
| 15% | -58.0% | 25% | -45.8% |
| 20% | -62.1% | 25% | -51.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Portugal | 52¢ | 50¢ | $200 | $194 | −$6 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $51 | +$68 | +134% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Dec 30 | $2,863 | −$1,429 | -50% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 10 | $1,000 | +$562 | +56% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) | Oct 31 | $127 | −$127 | -100% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) | Oct 30 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) | Oct 30 | $76 | +$44 | +59% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? | Oct 29 | $23 | −$4 | -17% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 28? | Oct 28 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |