Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:58:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c75…498c
crypto · 1551 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,742 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,742 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,742
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses1055 / 601
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1656 / 1551
History coverage14d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day183.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1656 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,280
7 days−$2,161
14 days−$1,742
30 days−$1,742
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$785
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $14 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $12 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $7 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $12 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 683 -30.8% -37.4% 49% 47% -43.8%
≤30d 1656 -10.3% -18.9% 64% 56% -19.9%
≤90d 1656 -10.3% -18.9% 64% 56% -19.9%
all 1656 -10.3% -18.9% 64% 56% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover183.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 56% -19.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 41% -27.6%
15% -33.7% 18% -34.6%
20% -40.2% 10% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records