Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:16:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c73…6ab8
weather · 73 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$15 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open −$36
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$21
Unrealized−$36
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses25 / 44
Open positions4
Markets (closed)69 / 73
History coverage886d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 4 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$92
7 days−$17
14 days−$17
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $13 +$22 +169%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $16 +$34 +221%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 5? Jun 12 $15 −$6 -39%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 5? Jun 12 $12 −$4 -30%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 5? Jun 12 $15 −$7 -44%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 11? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $12 −$2 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 +$32 +464%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $14 +$1 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? Jun 11 $14 +$19 +131%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $14 +$22 +160%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $40 +$8 +19%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 09 $101 +$26 +26%
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? Apr 26 $100 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Apr 01 $54 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 30 $40 +$22 +55%
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? Mar 26 $1,780 −$2 -0%
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? Mar 26 $551 −$12 -2%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? Mar 26 $183 −$5 -3%
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t Mar 25 $200 −$3 -2%
Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon? Mar 25 $40 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 25? Mar 25 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 23 $65 +$9 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 20 $30 +$14 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 18 $20 +$28 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 17 $40 +$9 +23%
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09? Mar 16 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 16 $55 +$43 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 13 $30 +$21 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 12 $30 +$26 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 11 $25 +$25 +99%
Will WLD hit $1.3 by December 31? Nov 28 $5 −$3 -65%
49ers vs. Cardinals Nov 17 $0 $0 +35%
Ravens vs. Browns Nov 17 $5 +$1 +27%
Jets vs. Patriots Nov 14 $8 +$1 +16%
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30? Nov 10 $4 −$3 -73%
Maduro out in 2025? Nov 10 $4 −$2 -48%
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31? Nov 09 $5 −$1 -15%
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31? Nov 09 $4 +$2 +56%
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? Nov 09 $1 $0 -14%
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31? Nov 09 $3 −$1 -45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 67% −$11
crypto 14% −$5
politics 8% +$18
weather 5% +$17
sports 4% −$2
other 1% −$28
tech 0% −$4
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $34 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $50 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 36¢ $13 14h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 30¢ $11 14h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? BUY Yes 8¢ $3 14h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 36¢ $1 14h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 30¢ $16 14h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 36¢ $18 14h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 14h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? SELL Yes 30¢ $10 25h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $39 25h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? SELL Yes 23¢ $8 25h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? SELL Yes 44¢ $15 25h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? BUY Yes 53¢ $21 39h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? BUY Yes 17¢ $7 39h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 10¢ $4 39h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 39h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? BUY Yes 33¢ $12 39h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? BUY Yes 38¢ $9 39h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? BUY Yes 19¢ $7 39h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $33 2d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $36 2d
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? BUY No 84¢ $40 2d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11? BUY Yes 37¢ $14 2d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 11? BUY Yes 35¢ $13 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? BUY Yes 42¢ $14 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11? BUY Yes 36¢ $12 2d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 92¢ $127 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +8.3% -2.0% 41% 32% -13.0%
≤30d 22 +8.3% -2.0% 41% 32% -13.0%
≤90d 37 +11.8% +1.1% 43% 35% -7.7%
all 69 -0.7% -10.2% 36% 32% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 32% -9.1%
10% -18.8% 28% -17.8%
15% -26.6% 22% -25.7%
20% -33.8% 19% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.08 · official $0.08 (match) · 263 history records