Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:08:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0C 0x0c72…1eae sports 73 markets active 3d ago coverage 32d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$87 (-9%) realized −$87 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate49%36W / 37L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day4.8pace
Fees−$20est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$0
14 days−$31
30 days−$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 99% −$83
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-25.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -17.4% -25.3% 50% 50% -7.2%
≤30d 58 -14.4% -22.5% 48% 41% -11.4%
≤90d 73 -17.3% -25.2% 49% 42% -11.8%
all 73 -17.3% -25.2% 49% 42% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.2% 42% -11.8%
10% -32.3% 34% -20.2%
15% -38.9% 27% -27.9%
20% -44.8% 18% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -17% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -27% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$8 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses36 / 37
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)73 / 73
History coverage32d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 73 Trades
no open positions (32 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$1 +50%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $14 −$7 -51%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $104 −$77 -75%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $15 +$23 +150%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $61 +$18 +30%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $11 −$11 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $14 +$1 +9%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $13 −$13 -99%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $10 +$4 +37%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $44 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $11 +$11 +100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $10 +$4 +36%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$5 +46%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $20 −$10 -50%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$1 -6%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 $0 -3%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $10 +$1 +9%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $20 +$30 +146%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $20 +$12 +57%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $12 −$12 -98%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 04 $10 +$3 +28%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $10 +$3 +28%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $10 +$5 +54%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $54 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $20 +$19 +95%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 04 $22 +$2 +10%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $18 −$5 -27%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $13 +$13 +99%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 03 $11 +$11 +97%
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 03 $40 −$16 -40%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $71 −$4 -5%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $10 +$7 +73%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $10 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major St Jun 02 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 26 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 26 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 58¢ $1 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 21¢ $1 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 17¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 77¢ $4 4d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $3 5d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 18¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 45¢ $3 6d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 44¢ $3 6d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 95¢ $4 8d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL TYLOO 16¢ $3 8d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY TYLOO 51¢ $10 8d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY MIBR 7¢ $1 9d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL MIBR 6¢ $11 9d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY MIBR 42¢ $80 9d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY MIBR 36¢ $12 9d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY Astralis 6¢ $1 9d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL MIBR 34¢ $38 9d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY MIBR 13¢ $15 9d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner SELL paiN 48¢ $21 9d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY paiN 25¢ $11 9d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner SELL Astralis 61¢ $59 9d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY Astralis 34¢ $10 9d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL MIBR 57¢ $13 9d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY Astralis 58¢ $40 9d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY MIBR 45¢ $10 9d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 36¢ $11 9d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY GamerLegion 30¢ $2 9d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL GamerLegion 45¢ $3 9d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY GamerLegion 29¢ $2 9d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL GamerLegion 71¢ $12 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 161 history records