Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:17:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0C 0x0c71…c0e5 sports 867 markets active 1h ago coverage 58d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 58d only
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$5,445 (-6%) realized −$5,253 · open −$192
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate40%349W / 514L
Whale WR52%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$113per market
Trades / day52.0pace
Fees−$1,395est.
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$89now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$921
7 days−$776
14 days−$494
30 days−$653
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 80% +$2,242
other 11% −$3,036
crypto 8% −$1,490
world 1% −$550
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -2.7% -11.9% 39% 34% -17.9%
≤30d 92 -1.3% -10.7% 43% 40% -15.7%
≤90d 863 -9.1% -17.8% 40% 37% -12.0%
all 863 -9.1% -17.8% 40% 37% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 37% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 30% -20.4%
15% -32.8% 23% -28.1%
20% -39.4% 17% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 27% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 52% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early -8% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$84 vs −$62 · ×1.35 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

58d coverage
Net worth$89
Realized−$5,253
Unrealized−$192
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses349 / 514
Whale WR (big bets)52%
Est. fees paid−$1,395
Open positions2
Markets (closed)863 / 867
History coverage58d ⚠
Avg bet$113
Trades / day52.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 863 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs SPARTA 38¢ 30¢ $110 $88 −$21 (-19%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs KT Rolster Challengers 28¢ 0¢ $171 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 8 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Sout Jun 17 $191 +$5 +3%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $66 +$78 +119%
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? Jun 16 $51 −$6 -12%
Senegal to score first vs. France? Jun 16 $28 −$27 -98%
France to score first vs. Senegal? Jun 16 $94 −$11 -11%
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 16 $51 +$7 +14%
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? Jun 16 $51 −$5 -10%
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 16 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $525 −$146 -28%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $174 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $103 −$103 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 16 $93 −$91 -98%
Nottingham 2: Jaime Faria vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 16 $297 −$292 -98%
HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Jun 16 $25 +$11 +44%
Dublin: Oliver Crawford vs Daniil Glinka Jun 16 $36 −$4 -10%
Asuncion 2: Santiago De La Fuente vs Paulo Dos Santos Jun 16 $26 −$8 -32%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $386 −$43 -11%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playof Jun 16 $367 −$364 -99%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $202 +$76 +38%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $69 +$59 +86%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $125 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 14 $229 −$104 -45%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $494 +$72 +15%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $160 +$39 +24%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $182 +$79 +44%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$136 +134%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$216 +711%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$5 +21%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $58 +$10 +16%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $36 −$14 -38%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $867 +$38 +4%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 −$12 -47%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $94 +$302 +321%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $502 +$86 +17%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $93 −$93 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $443 +$97 +22%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $102 +$105 +103%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $103 +$125 +121%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 11 $25 +$10 +40%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $211 −$165 -78%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $118 +$32 +27%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $307 −$307 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $20 −$17 -84%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY SPARTA 38¢ $112 49m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Mast BUY KT Rolster Challengers 28¢ $174 3h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Mast SELL Dplus KIA Challengers 73¢ $173 3h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Mast BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 81¢ $123 3h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Mast BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 81¢ $34 3h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Mast BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 81¢ $8 3h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Mast BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 81¢ $14 3h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Mast BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 81¢ $4 3h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Mast BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 81¢ $12 3h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Sout SELL Ivory 89¢ $186 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Sout SELL Ivory 89¢ $0 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Sout SELL Ivory 89¢ $10 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Sout BUY Ivory 86¢ $191 4h
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? SELL Yes 13¢ $45 15h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 45¢ $66 15h
Senegal to score first vs. France? BUY Yes 28¢ $28 16h
France to score first vs. Senegal? SELL Yes 51¢ $83 16h
France to score first vs. Senegal? BUY Yes 56¢ $94 16h
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? SELL Yes 32¢ $58 16h
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? SELL Yes 18¢ $46 16h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 AND Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 AND Exact Sco BUY 3¢ $21 16h
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? BUY Yes 19¢ $51 16h
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $51 16h
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $51 16h
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $51 16h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY KOLESIE 71¢ $180 17h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner SELL KOLESIE 61¢ $180 17h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY KOLESIE 56¢ $47 17h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY KOLESIE 55¢ $119 17h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner SELL KOLESIE 55¢ $166 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $88.66 · official $100.25 · 3500 history records