Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:39:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c67…3144
crypto · 198 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$222 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$213 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$10
Realized−$213
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses125 / 71
Open positions2
Markets (closed)196 / 198
History coverage108d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 196 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$3 -53%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 9AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$2 +8%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 11AM ET Mar 20 $16 −$8 -49%
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 11AM ET Mar 20 $16 −$8 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 11AM ET Mar 20 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 7AM ET Mar 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 6AM ET Mar 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 2AM ET Mar 20 $4 +$1 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 12AM ET Mar 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 8PM ET Mar 20 $7 +$2 +23%
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 6PM ET Mar 20 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5PM ET Mar 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 4PM ET Mar 19 $8 +$2 +30%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 3PM ET Mar 19 $7 +$2 +22%
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 2PM ET Mar 19 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1PM ET Mar 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12PM ET Mar 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10AM ET Mar 19 $8 +$2 +30%
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 9AM ET Mar 19 $4 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8AM ET Mar 19 $3 +$2 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 6AM ET Mar 19 $8 +$3 +43%
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 5AM ET Mar 19 $4 +$1 +41%
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 2AM ET Mar 19 $8 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 1AM ET Mar 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 12AM ET Mar 19 $7 +$2 +21%
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 11PM ET Mar 19 $8 +$2 +30%
XRP Up or Down - March 18, 8PM ET Mar 19 $9 +$4 +38%
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 5PM ET Mar 19 $12 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - March 18, 9PM ET Mar 19 $10 −$6 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6PM ET Mar 19 $9 +$3 +27%
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 3PM ET Mar 18 $9 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4PM ET Mar 18 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 5PM ET Mar 18 $11 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - March 18, 5PM ET Mar 18 $12 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3PM ET Mar 18 $12 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 12PM ET Mar 18 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12PM ET Mar 18 $13 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 9AM ET Mar 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 8AM ET Mar 18 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8AM ET Mar 18 $6 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - March 18, 6AM ET Mar 18 $4 +$1 +27%
XRP Up or Down - March 18, 3AM ET Mar 18 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2AM ET Mar 18 $4 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 12AM ET Mar 18 $4 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 10PM ET Mar 18 $4 +$1 +21%
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 7PM ET Mar 18 $4 +$1 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 9PM ET Mar 18 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 5PM ET Mar 17 $4 +$1 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$211
other 1% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 26¢ $3 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 7h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 48¢ $5 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 75¢ $11 31h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 32h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 11AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $13 84d
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 11AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 84d
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 11AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $13 84d
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 11AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 84d
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 11AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 84d
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 9AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $6 84d
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 9AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $13 84d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 7AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 84d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 6AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $8 84d
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 2AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 84d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 12AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 84d
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 8PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $7 85d
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 6PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 85d
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 6PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 85d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 85d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 4PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 85d
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 3PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 85d
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 2PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 85d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 85d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 85d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 85d
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 9AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 85d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -3.6% -12.8% 75% 25% -8.9%
≤30d 4 -3.6% -12.8% 75% 25% -8.9%
≤90d 75 +1.8% -7.9% 76% 49% -18.5%
all 196 +4.1% -5.8% 64% 39% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.8% 39% -14.4%
10% -14.8% 23% -22.6%
15% -23.0% 9% -30.0%
20% -30.6% 4% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.16 · official $10.16 (match) · 1421 history records