trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $4 | +$4 | +109% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $4 | +$1 | +41% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -12.4% | -20.8% | 50% | 50% | +13.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -12.4% | -20.8% | 50% | 50% | +13.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -12.4% | -20.8% | 50% | 50% | +13.7% |
| all | 4 | -12.4% | -20.8% | 50% | 50% | +13.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.8% | 50% | +13.7% |
| 10% | -28.3% | 50% | +2.8% |
| 15% | -35.3% | 50% | -7.1% |
| 20% | -41.6% | 25% | -16.2% |