Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:40:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c63…3cbb
sports · 521 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$7,163 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,141 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$7,141
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses354 / 166
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Est. fees paid−$3,773
Open positions1
Markets (closed)520 / 521
History coverage84d
Avg bet$793
Trades / day40.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 520 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$446
7 days+$3,104
14 days+$5,849
30 days+$5,831
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Vitality 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 55¢ 0¢ $1,600 $0 −$1,600 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 3 Winner M80 45¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 36¢ 0¢ $2,114 $0 −$2,114 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 30¢ 0¢ $149 $0 −$149 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 13¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Spurs 76¢ 0¢ $520 $0 −$520 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Gentle Mates 59¢ 0¢ $219 $0 −$219 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs G2 64¢ 0¢ $2,060 $0 −$2,060 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Vitality 78¢ 0¢ $254 $0 −$254 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 51¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 25¢ 0¢ $269 $0 −$269 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 32¢ 0¢ $510 $0 −$510 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs Astralis 59¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Vitality 77¢ 0¢ $590 $0 −$590 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Vitality 75¢ 0¢ $2,350 $0 −$2,350 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 65¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 59¢ 0¢ $741 $0 −$741 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner FURIA 8¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage FURIA 75¢ 0¢ $1,385 $0 −$1,385 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Vitality 53¢ 0¢ $870 $0 −$870 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 63¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Nuggets 70¢ 0¢ $327 $0 −$327 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage PARIVISION 34¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,880 −$1,810 -63%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $842 −$491 -58%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $743 −$79 -11%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,442 −$359 -25%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $181 +$15 +8%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $382 +$87 +23%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$14 -27%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$5 +10%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $301 +$46 +15%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $606 +$330 +54%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,179 +$1,566 +49%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,519 +$476 +31%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $151 −$15 -10%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,742 +$127 +7%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$27 +13%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,674 −$121 -7%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,116 +$1,017 +91%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $202 −$34 -17%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $311 −$115 -37%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $352 +$84 +24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,120 −$1,102 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $963 +$452 +47%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2,257 −$540 -24%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $132 −$71 -54%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $574 +$183 +32%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $572 +$192 +34%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $563 +$526 +94%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $444 −$393 -88%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $342 +$97 +28%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $191 +$52 +27%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $263 −$77 -29%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $323 +$132 +41%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $3,104 +$392 +13%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $60 −$12 -19%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $233 −$136 -59%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $857 +$338 +39%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $191 +$52 +27%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $314 +$88 +28%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $101 +$48 +48%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $101 −$74 -73%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $504 +$164 +33%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $908 +$91 +10%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,260 +$239 +19%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $573 +$103 +18%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $171 +$40 +23%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $363 +$148 +41%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1,042 +$265 +26%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $352 +$64 +18%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $726 −$293 -40%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $525 +$254 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$6,129
other 1% +$1,012
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 31¢ $9 23m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 34¢ $351 24m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 22¢ $410 25m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 68¢ $202 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 68¢ $101 33m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 67¢ $1,010 33m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 58¢ $101 38m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 70¢ $50 40m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $222 46m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 33¢ $651 49m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 73¢ $60 51m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 67¢ $663 51m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 66¢ $1,083 51m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 81¢ $101 52m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 61¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 71¢ $202 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 76¢ $201 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $165 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $165 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 74¢ $373 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 88¢ $213 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 88¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $432 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 81¢ $163 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 81¢ $163 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 74¢ $370 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 81¢ $407 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $1,010 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 88¢ $309 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 83¢ $196 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 +4.9% -5.1% 64% 56% -2.9%
≤30d 240 +6.2% -3.9% 68% 62% -4.9%
≤90d 520 +2.5% -7.3% 68% 59% -7.7%
all 520 +2.5% -7.3% 68% 59% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 59% -7.7%
10% -16.2% 38% -16.5%
15% ← realistic here -24.3% 19% -24.6%
20% -31.7% 8% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.22 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records