Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:01:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c59…cdd8
sports · 109 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$92 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$76 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$33
Realized−$76
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses36 / 70
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions3
Markets (closed)106 / 109
History coverage71d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 3 History 106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$20
14 days+$4
30 days+$62
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 74¢ $20 $24 +$4 (+20%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 39¢ 40¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-19? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Cabo Verde vs. Serbia end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5 Under 43¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-24? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 3.5 Under 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Australia win on 2026-05-30? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-05-30? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 3.5 Over 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 64¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-24? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar end in a draw? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $8 +$22 +276%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 +$12 +238%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 +$13 +86%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$8 -83%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $15 +$7 +46%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $10 +$8 +83%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $29 +$21 +73%
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $6 −$6 -98%
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 3.5 May 31 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $10 +$9 +89%
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 3.5 May 31 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Cabo Verde vs. Serbia end in a draw? May 31 $4 −$4 -98%
Czechia vs. Kosovo: Both Teams to Score May 31 $11 −$11 -99%
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5 May 31 $16 +$11 +66%
Will Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg end in a draw? May 31 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5) May 31 $15 +$7 +48%
Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 5.5 May 31 $5 −$5 -97%
Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 4.5 May 31 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Japan (-1.5) May 31 $10 +$4 +39%
Will Japan win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $10 +$5 +54%
Will Australia win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $10 +$30 +291%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Qatar win on 2026-05-28? May 28 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar end in a draw? May 28 $2 −$2 -97%
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) May 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5) May 28 $30 +$19 +62%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $14 +$16 +112%
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5 May 25 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-25? May 25 $5 −$5 -98%
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5 May 25 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5) May 24 $10 +$8 +79%
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5) May 24 $10 +$7 +64%
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5) May 24 $10 −$10 -99%
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) May 24 $10 +$13 +123%
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 May 24 $10 +$4 +40%
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) May 23 $7 +$7 +105%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $15 +$7 +43%
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? May 19 $7 +$16 +226%
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? May 19 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27? Apr 27 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $6 −$6 -99%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Apr 24 $7 −$7 -99%
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-24? Apr 24 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% +$11
other 41% −$83
crypto 2% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $20 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 39¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $20 4h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $8 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 56¢ $20 7h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 64¢ $15 29h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $10 29h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 11¢ $2 29h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 61¢ $10 29h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 29¢ $5 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $15 30h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 42¢ $10 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 54¢ $10 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 68¢ $15 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL Mexico 100¢ $51 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 57¢ $29 2d
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 17¢ $6 8d
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 45¢ $10 13d
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31? SELL Yes 100¢ $19 13d
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 19¢ $2 13d
Will Cabo Verde vs. Serbia end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $4 13d
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31? BUY Yes 52¢ $10 13d
Czechia vs. Kosovo: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $11 13d
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 99¢ $27 13d
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 59¢ $16 13d
Will Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 13d
Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5) SELL Yunnan Yukun FC 100¢ $22 13d
Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5) BUY Yunnan Yukun FC 67¢ $15 13d
Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 12¢ $5 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-26.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +28.9% +16.6% 55% 55% +2.9%
≤30d 46 -5.2% -14.2% 46% 46% +2.9%
≤90d 106 -19.0% -26.7% 34% 34% -15.5%
all 106 -19.0% -26.7% 34% 34% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.7% 34% -15.5%
10% -33.7% 34% -23.6%
15% -40.1% 33% -31.0%
20% -46.0% 27% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.28 · official $33.28 (match) · 170 history records