trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -33.6% | -39.9% | 33% | 33% | +44.1% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -7.2% | -16.0% | 56% | 50% | -11.6% |
| all | 16 | -7.2% | -16.0% | 56% | 50% | -11.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.0% | 50% | -11.6% |
| 10% | -24.1% | 31% | -20.1% |
| 15% | -31.4% | 19% | -27.8% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 19% | -34.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 04 | $60 | +$59 | +99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | Jun 01 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 17 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026? | Apr 16 | $60 | +$7 | +12% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Apr 16 | $124 | +$20 | +16% |
| Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30? | Apr 16 | $100 | +$25 | +25% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Apr 14 | $50 | −$6 | -11% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Apr 14 | $100 | −$32 | -32% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 07 | $65 | +$86 | +132% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Apr 07 | $50 | +$52 | +104% |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t | Apr 07 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | Apr 02 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 01 | $50 | +$7 | +14% |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | Apr 01 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | Mar 29 | $10 | +$2 | +23% |