Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:18:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c4f…9fed
other · 40 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$281
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses2 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions33
Markets (closed)7 / 40
History coverage2d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day17.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit45%
Chart Positions 33 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No 93¢ 95¢ $93 $95 +$2 (+2%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+5%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 91¢ 92¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 89¢ 90¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 92¢ 93¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 89¢ 89¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 76¢ 80¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 93¢ 92¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Under 76¢ 76¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+5%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Yes 15¢ 12¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-20%)
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 27¢ 30¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+11%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+31%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 67¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 +$6 +593%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 87% −$4
sports 6% +$5
finance 3% $0
world 2% $0
tech 2% $0
crypto 2% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 76¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? SELL Yes 9¢ $9 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 10¢ $14 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 4h
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY Yes 93¢ $5 4h
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 4h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 13h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 25h
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 25h
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 76¢ $10 25h
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? BUY Yes 90¢ $1 26h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 92¢ $20 26h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 26h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 26h
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 BUY No 99¢ $4 30h
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 BUY No 99¢ $1 30h
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 30h
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cu BUY No 95¢ $1 30h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 36h
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 36h
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 36h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 36h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 36h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 36h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 36h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 95¢ $8 47h
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 93¢ $94 2d
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)+3.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +13.9% +3.1% 29% 14% -26.9%
≤30d 7 +13.9% +3.1% 29% 14% -26.9%
≤90d 7 +13.9% +3.1% 29% 14% -26.9%
all 7 +13.9% +3.1% 29% 14% -26.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.1% 14% -26.9%
10% -6.8% 14% -33.9%
15% -15.8% 14% -40.3%
20% -24.0% 14% -46.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $281.28 · official $281.28 (match) · 50 history records