Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:08:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c4e…7d6f
crypto · 196 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$167 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$167 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$167
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses104 / 92
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)196 / 196
History coverage152d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 196 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$17
14 days−$62
30 days−$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 2? No 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Rajasthan Royals 3¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$9 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $64 −$6 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$5 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET Jun 08 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +34%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2PM ET Jun 07 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11AM ET Jun 07 $4 $0 +9%
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10PM ET Jun 07 $17 −$6 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11AM ET Jun 06 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8AM ET Jun 05 $15 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7AM ET Jun 05 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4AM ET Jun 05 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12PM ET Jun 04 $16 −$14 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 04 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10AM ET Jun 04 $79 +$6 +7%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $21 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 04 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8AM ET Jun 04 $31 −$26 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10PM ET Jun 04 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET Jun 03 $20 −$13 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET Jun 03 $78 +$11 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3? Jun 03 $61 −$8 -13%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $60 +$2 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $31 +$1 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $155 −$8 -5%
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $3 −$3 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $31 +$1 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31? Jun 01 $31 +$1 +2%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $59 +$11 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31? May 31 $119 −$7 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? May 30 $148 +$4 +2%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $92 −$16 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $176 −$11 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET May 29 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET May 29 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET May 29 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 28 $3 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 28 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 28 $3 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 28 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% −$159
sports 20% −$6
other 0% −$2
world 0% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $7 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -4.6% -13.7% 71% 35% -18.2%
≤30d 126 -11.0% -19.5% 58% 23% -13.9%
≤90d 136 -10.4% -18.9% 57% 24% -13.9%
all 196 -11.5% -19.9% 53% 28% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.9% 28% -13.5%
10% -27.6% 17% -21.8%
15% -34.6% 12% -29.3%
20% -41.0% 8% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 669 history records