Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T15:26:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
0C 0x0c43…a2d4 crypto 23 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$135 (+12%) realized +$135 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR61%break-even
Win rate70%16W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$50per market
Trades / day43.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +6.5% -3.7% 70% 61% -13.8%
≤30d 23 +6.5% -3.7% 70% 61% -13.8%
≤90d 23 +6.5% -3.7% 70% 61% -13.8%
all 23 +6.5% -3.7% 70% 61% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover43.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.7% 61% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -12.9% 35% -22.0%
15% -21.3% 13% -29.6%
20% -29.0% 9% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 30% · top 2 48% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +13% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$33 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$135
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses16 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage1d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day43.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 23 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 19 $115 +$6 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 19 $118 −$84 -72%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 19 $99 −$94 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 19 $31 +$5 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 19 $31 +$9 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $31 +$31 +99%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $97 −$5 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 19 $110 −$15 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $31 +$11 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 19 $31 +$9 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 19 $31 −$2 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 19 $61 +$11 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 19 $83 +$54 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 19 $31 −$27 -86%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 19 $20 +$10 +49%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 19 $31 +$3 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$5 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$6 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$9 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 18 $31 −$3 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$4 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$4 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $23 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $62 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $31 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $87 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $31 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $99 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $36 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $31 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $31 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $31 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $66 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $13 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $31 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $79 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $11 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $31 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $31 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $40 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $31 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $29 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $31 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $73 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $31 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $31 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $137 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $83 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 58 history records