Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c3d…f757
sports · 717 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$28,928 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$29,995 · open −$1,104
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24,562
Realized+$29,995
Unrealized−$1,104
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses667 / 16
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Est. fees paid−$564
Open positions35
Markets (closed)683 / 717
History coverage58d
Avg bet$1,433
Trades / day48.5
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 35 History 683 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$668
7 days+$6,102
14 days+$9,783
30 days+$15,343
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes 97¢ 92¢ $7,217 $6,810 −$407 (-6%)
Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli? Yes 99¢ 96¢ $6,974 $6,787 −$187 (-3%)
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 76¢ 74¢ $4,294 $4,154 −$140 (-3%)
Will Pierre Sage be the next manager of Crystal Palace? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $906 $909 +$4 (+0%)
Will Marco Silva be the next manager of Benfica? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $589 $593 +$5 (+1%)
Will Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 100¢ $468 $474 +$6 (+1%)
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 68¢ 50¢ $566 $421 −$146 (-26%)
Abde Ezzalzouli: 2+ goals No 98¢ 99¢ $309 $310 +$1 (+0%)
Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $296 $296 +$0 (+0%)
Abde Ezzalzouli: 1+ goals No 98¢ 99¢ $292 $293 +$1 (+0%)
Abde Ezzalzouli: 2+ shots No 98¢ 99¢ $270 $274 +$4 (+1%)
Abde Ezzalzouli: 3+ shots No 98¢ 99¢ $269 $271 +$2 (+1%)
Abde Ezzalzouli: 1+ shots No 98¢ 99¢ $267 $271 +$4 (+1%)
Abde Ezzalzouli: 4+ shots No 98¢ 99¢ $268 $270 +$2 (+1%)
Abde Ezzalzouli: 5+ shots No 98¢ 99¢ $267 $268 +$1 (+1%)
Will Mike Penders be in Belgium's Starting 11? No 97¢ 98¢ $263 $265 +$2 (+1%)
Will Julio Enciso score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 66¢ 66¢ $228 $227 −$1 (-0%)
Will Xavi Hernandez be the next manager of AC Milan? No 97¢ 100¢ $203 $208 +$5 (+3%)
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 34¢ 24¢ $286 $202 −$84 (-29%)
Will Gonçalo Guedes be in Portugal's Starting 11? No 94¢ 98¢ $170 $177 +$8 (+5%)
Will Benfica qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League? Yes 98¢ 52¢ $245 $130 −$115 (-47%)
Will Casemiro be in Brazil's Starting 11? Yes 99¢ 98¢ $129 $128 −$1 (-1%)
Will Raphinha be in Brazil's Starting 11? Yes 96¢ 99¢ $106 $109 +$3 (+3%)
Will William Saliba be in France's Starting 11? Yes 98¢ 57¢ $171 $100 −$71 (-41%)
Will José Sá be in Portugal's Starting 11? No 99¢ 98¢ $100 $99 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $102 +$1 +1%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $3,584 +$36 +1%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $150 +$2 +1%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3,587 +$36 +1%
Armando González: 1+ goals Jun 11 $80 +$18 +23%
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? Jun 11 $3,127 +$186 +6%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $27 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $3,748 +$38 +1%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $26,823 +$271 +1%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $64 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Stewart vs Riedi Jun 10 $68 +$1 +2%
Stewart vs. Riedi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 10 $99 +$1 +1%
Stewart vs. Riedi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 10 $99 +$1 +1%
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano Jun 10 $37 $0 +1%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $9,881 +$76 +1%
Will CD Castellon achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 20 Jun 09 $34 $0 +1%
Togo vs. Benin: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $146 +$2 +1%
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $1,509 +$15 +1%
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $1,357 +$14 +1%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $628 +$6 +1%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $2,115 +$21 +1%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $2,217 +$22 +1%
Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $2,323 +$23 +1%
Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $3,522 +$36 +1%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $3,088 +$31 +1%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $29 $0 +1%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $145 +$1 +1%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $2,638 +$27 +1%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $9,048 +$952 +10%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $2,970 +$30 +1%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $1,579 +$16 +1%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $717 +$7 +1%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $408 +$4 +1%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $335 +$5 +1%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $39 $0 +1%
US Yacoub El Mansour vs. COD Meknès: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $453 +$5 +1%
Norway vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $105 +$1 +1%
Tajikistan vs. India: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $63 +$1 +1%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $258 +$3 +1%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $1,712 +$20 +1%
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 09 $4,443 +$45 +1%
Armenia vs. Moldova: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $1,730 +$17 +1%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $797 +$8 +1%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $230 +$2 +1%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $64 +$1 +1%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $5,940 +$60 +1%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $800 +$8 +1%
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $822 +$8 +1%
Halys vs. Shimabukuro: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 09 $30 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% +$26,112
other 18% +$2,728
world 0% +$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 99¢ $32 36m
Will Pierre Sage be the next manager of Crystal Palace? BUY Yes 98¢ $350 51m
Will Bruno Guimaraes be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY Yes 93¢ $37 52m
Will Maximilian Beier be in Germany's Starting 11? BUY No 97¢ $25 56m
Will Raphinha be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY Yes 96¢ $106 58m
Will Maximilian Beier be in Germany's Starting 11? BUY No 97¢ $10 1h
Will Gabriel Magalhaes be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY Yes 91¢ $51 1h
Will Alejandro Zendejas be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 BUY No 98¢ $29 1h
Will Mike Penders be in Belgium's Starting 11? BUY No 97¢ $263 1h
Will William Saliba be in France's Starting 11? BUY Yes 97¢ $97 1h
Will Casemiro be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $129 1h
Will William Saliba be in France's Starting 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $74 1h
Will Lionel Messi be in Argentina's Starting 11? BUY Yes 96¢ $100 1h
Will Kevin Castaño be in Colombia's Starting 11? BUY No 99¢ $34 1h
Will David Ospina be in Colombia's Starting 11? BUY No 98¢ $50 1h
Will Jhon Córdoba be in Colombia's Starting 11? BUY No 92¢ $96 2h
Will Gonçalo Guedes be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY No 95¢ $57 2h
Will Gonçalo Guedes be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY No 92¢ $37 2h
Will Gonçalo Guedes be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY No 95¢ $76 2h
Will Antonio Rüdiger be in Germany's Starting 11? BUY No 93¢ $51 2h
Will José Sá be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY No 99¢ $100 2h
Will José Sá be in Portugal's Starting 11? SELL No 98¢ $294 2h
Will José Sá be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY No 98¢ $293 3h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 99¢ $3 3h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 99¢ $99 3h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Jesper de Jong 99¢ $183 3h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Jesper de Jong 99¢ $252 3h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Jesper de Jong 99¢ $99 3h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Jesper de Jong 99¢ $42 3h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Jesper de Jong 99¢ $20 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 +1.1% -8.5% 99% 2% -8.0%
≤30d 454 +3.0% -6.8% 98% 4% -7.9%
≤90d 683 +2.2% -7.5% 98% 4% -6.8%
all 683 +2.2% -7.5% 98% 4% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 4% -6.8%
10% -16.3% 2% -15.7%
15% ← realistic here -24.4% 2% -23.9%
20% -31.8% 1% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24,561.78 · official $24,561.78 (match) · 3500 history records