Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:57:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c3a…086c
crypto · 51 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$375 -54%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$371 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$371
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses15 / 35
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)50 / 51
History coverage104d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 1 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 58¢ 6¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-89%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Aurora 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs WW Team - Map 1 Winner ENCE Academy 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs 33 (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffs AaB esport 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) G2 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs South Africa Zimbabwe 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara win on 2026-03-01? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-03-01? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-04? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-01? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-01? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 M80 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage Omega 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +41%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-04? Mar 03 $130 −$130 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-04? Mar 03 $148 −$19 -13%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? Mar 03 $60 −$5 -8%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03? Mar 03 $42 +$15 +35%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03? Mar 03 $200 −$200 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Mar 03 $30 +$11 +37%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Mar 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs 33 (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffs Mar 01 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Nemiga (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffs Mar 01 $2 +$2 +90%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-01? Mar 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01? Mar 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-01? Mar 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Mar 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Mar 01 $4 −$4 -100%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-01? Mar 01 $1 +$2 +223%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Mar 01 $5 +$1 +13%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01? Mar 01 $2 +$2 +160%
Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-03-01? Mar 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-01? Mar 01 $1 $0 +23%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Mar 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Mar 01 $2 −$1 -74%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Mar 01 $2 +$3 +156%
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs South Africa Mar 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs WW Team (BO3) - European Pro League Se Mar 01 $1 $0 -4%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01? Mar 01 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group S Mar 01 $4 −$2 -40%
Will PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara win on 2026-03-01? Mar 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs WW Team - Map 1 Winner Mar 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Mar 01 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Mar 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Mar 01 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Mar 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Mar 01 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Mar 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Mar 01 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Mar 01 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Mar 01 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Mar 01 $1 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Mar 01 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Mar 01 $1 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Mar 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Mar 01 $1 +$1 +84%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Mar 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Mar 01 $1 +$1 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Mar 01 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Mar 01 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 85% −$346
sports 11% −$13
crypto 4% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 58¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-04? BUY Yes 26¢ $130 101d
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-04? SELL Yes 23¢ $129 101d
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-04? BUY Yes 26¢ $148 101d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? SELL Yes 61¢ $55 101d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03? SELL Yes 93¢ $57 101d
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 101d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 SELL G2 100¢ $41 101d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 BUY G2 73¢ $30 101d
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) BUY G2 48¢ $10 101d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03? BUY Yes 69¢ $42 101d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? BUY Yes 66¢ $60 101d
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03? BUY Yes 52¢ $195 101d
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs 33 (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffs BUY AaB esport 26¢ $4 103d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Nemiga (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffs SELL Nemiga 100¢ $4 103d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Nemiga (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffs BUY Nemiga 50¢ $1 103d
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-01? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 103d
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 103d
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-01? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 103d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-42.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -64.8% -68.1% 25% 25% -78.1%
≤30d 4 -64.8% -68.1% 25% 25% -78.1%
≤90d 4 -64.8% -68.1% 25% 25% -78.1%
all 50 -36.4% -42.4% 30% 30% -58.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -42.4% 30% -58.0%
10% -47.9% 28% -62.0%
15% -53.0% 24% -65.7%
20% -57.6% 20% -69.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.53 · official $0.53 (match) · 94 history records