trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +76.0% | +59.2% | 75% | 75% | +58.7% |
| ≤30d | 27 | +38.7% | +25.4% | 67% | 67% | -20.7% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +38.7% | +25.4% | 67% | 67% | -20.7% |
| all | 27 | +38.7% | +25.4% | 67% | 67% | -20.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +25.4% | 67% | -20.7% |
| 10% | +13.4% | 63% | -28.2% |
| 15% | +2.5% | 59% | -35.2% |
| 20% | -7.6% | 44% | -41.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 24¢ | $1,000 | $1,469 | +$469 (+47%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 11¢ | $1,000 | $658 | −$342 (-34%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $100 | $97 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $205 | +$96 | +47% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $206 | +$143 | +70% |
| Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $104 | +$274 | +264% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $102 | +$33 | +32% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $206 | +$181 | +88% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $102 | +$18 | +18% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $103 | +$51 | +50% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $104 | +$610 | +586% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 23 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $103 | +$59 | +57% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $103 | +$105 | +102% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $103 | +$56 | +55% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $103 | +$135 | +131% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $102 | +$37 | +36% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $102 | +$42 | +42% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $102 | +$47 | +46% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 15 | $508 | −$508 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 15 | $1,025 | −$1,025 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $615 | −$613 | -100% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP? | May 31 | $103 | +$135 | +132% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $103 | +$130 | +126% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $20 | +$13 | +63% |