Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:21:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c2c…591e
crypto · 69 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$130 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses40 / 29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)69 / 69
History coverage3d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day52.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$6 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$18 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$77 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$13 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$8 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $17 +$11 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$10 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$9 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$14 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$10 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$11 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$10 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$17
world 3% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $22 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $6 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -3.0% -12.2% 58% 57% -12.2%
≤30d 69 -3.0% -12.2% 58% 57% -12.2%
≤90d 69 -3.0% -12.2% 58% 57% -12.2%
all 69 -3.0% -12.2% 58% 57% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 57% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 54% -20.6%
15% -28.3% 42% -28.2%
20% -35.3% 26% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 198 history records