Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:05:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0x0c1e…52df

crypto · 4 markets active 2h ago

0.0score

−$13 -11%

TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0

avoidriskycopy

~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Net worth$0

Realized−$13

Unrealized+$0

Win rate (resolved)25%

Wins / losses1 / 3

Open positions0

Markets (closed)4 / 4

History coverage1d

Avg bet$28

Trades / day11.0

Drawdown100%

Kalshi-fit100%

Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage

1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

2 days−$13

7 days−$13

14 days−$13

30 days−$13

Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	20¢	0¢	$76	$0	−$76 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	5¢	0¢	$4	$0	−$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	62¢	0¢	$8	$0	−$8 (-100%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Jun 12	$8	−$8	-95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Jun 12	$82	−$76	-93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Jun 12	$4	−$4	-91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Jun 12	$18	+$75	+407%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

crypto 100% −$13

Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	BUY Up	62¢	$8	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	BUY Down	1¢	$1	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	BUY Down	19¢	$27	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	BUY Down	24¢	$11	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	BUY Down	19¢	$5	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	BUY Down	43¢	$11	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	BUY Down	51¢	$27	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	BUY Down	5¢	$4	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	SELL Down	99¢	$94	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	BUY Down	18¢	$8	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	BUY Down	17¢	$11	1h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +25%

net ROI/market (all)+14.7%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	4	+26.8%	+14.7%	25%	25%	-20.3%
≤30d	4	+26.8%	+14.7%	25%	25%	-20.3%
≤90d	4	+26.8%	+14.7%	25%	25%	-20.3%
all	4	+26.8%	+14.7%	25%	25%	-20.3%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

turnover11.0 tr/day

realistic slip~9%

edge survives to10%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	+14.7%	25%	-20.3%
10%	+3.7%	25%	-28.0%
15%	-6.3%	25%	-34.9%
20%	-15.5%	25%	-41.3%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 11 history records