Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:14:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c1e…4d9c
crypto · 895 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,655 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,458 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized−$3,458
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses433 / 498
Open positions3
Markets (closed)931 / 895
History coverage5d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day656.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 931 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,960
7 days−$3,458
14 days−$3,458
30 days−$3,458
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 38¢ 71¢ $10 $19 +$9 (+87%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 23¢ 28¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 63¢ 32¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-48%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,299
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $11 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $11 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $7 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $10 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 931 -11.2% -19.6% 47% 47% -17.1%
≤30d 931 -11.2% -19.6% 47% 47% -17.1%
≤90d 931 -11.2% -19.6% 47% 47% -17.1%
all 931 -11.2% -19.6% 47% 47% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover656.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.6% 47% -17.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.3% 47% -25.1%
15% -34.3% 47% -32.3%
20% -40.8% 42% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.84 · official $35.28 (match) · 3500 history records