Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:12:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
0C 0x0c14…3c06 crypto 488 markets active 1h ago coverage 13d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$113 (-2%) realized −$113 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate79%384W / 104L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day69.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$10
14 days−$184
30 days−$184
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$188
other 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 215 -1.6% -11.0% 80% 65% -10.9%
≤30d 488 -4.6% -13.7% 79% 49% -11.9%
≤90d 488 -4.6% -13.7% 79% 49% -11.9%
all 488 -4.6% -13.7% 79% 49% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 49% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 28% -20.4%
15% -29.5% 9% -28.1%
20% -36.4% 3% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$10 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$113
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses384 / 104
Open positions0
Markets (closed)488 / 488
History coverage13d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day69.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 488 Trades
no open positions (95 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $17 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$3 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$4 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $6 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $6 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $6 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $17 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $6 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $6 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1105 history records