Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:41:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c0f…a6ab
other · 123 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$24 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$492
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses40 / 44
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions38
Markets (closed)84 / 123
History coverage157d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 38 History 84 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 85¢ 87¢ $105 $107 +$3 (+2%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 72¢ 74¢ $100 $103 +$3 (+3%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 51¢ 48¢ $48 $45 −$3 (-6%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 19¢ 52¢ $10 $28 +$18 (+176%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 90¢ $10 $19 +$9 (+93%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 52¢ 52¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 55¢ 55¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? No 49¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? No 44¢ 44¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? No 40¢ 40¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? Yes 39¢ 38¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? Yes 45¢ 44¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Yes 45¢ 44¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 91¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No 93¢ 93¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 76¢ 76¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 58¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? Apr 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? Apr 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Netanyahu out by March 31? Apr 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Australian Open Men's: Joao Fonseca vs Eliot Spizzirri Mar 30 $6 −$6 -100%
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? Mar 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Mar 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? Mar 30 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage Mar 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? Mar 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? Mar 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential electio Mar 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? Mar 30 $11 −$9 -84%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs Mar 30 $6 −$3 -46%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group St Mar 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Mar 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stag Mar 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open? Mar 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? Mar 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Coca-Cola say "Protein" during earnings call? Mar 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the US not strike another country before 2027? Mar 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Australian Open? Mar 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Coca-Cola say "GLP-1" during earnings call? Mar 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs Mar 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026? Mar 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the US strike Iran next? Mar 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Mar 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31? Mar 30 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Mar 26 $9 −$9 -93%
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa Mar 26 $4 +$1 +30%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Mar 12 $5 +$4 +85%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Mar 09 $2 $0 -24%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Mar 09 $5 +$4 +78%
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR? Mar 04 $1 +$4 +357%
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? Feb 23 $2 +$2 +66%
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? Feb 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Feb 21 $8 −$4 -46%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Feb 21 $3 +$4 +144%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Feb 21 $8 +$6 +76%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Feb 20 $11 +$3 +25%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs Feb 20 $6 +$9 +143%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Pla Feb 20 $2 +$6 +262%
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - ESL Challenger Le Feb 20 $2 $0 +25%
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL C Feb 20 $5 +$2 +47%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Prestige (BO1) - PGL Bucharest: European O Feb 20 $5 +$3 +54%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Feb 20 $2 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Feb 17 $5 +$4 +72%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Feb 16 $3 +$1 +45%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Sta Feb 16 $6 +$3 +56%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage Feb 16 $5 +$7 +138%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Feb 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 42% −$26
other 33% $0
sports 15% +$17
world 4% −$2
finance 3% −$13
culture 2% −$8
crypto 1% $0
tech 1% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $10 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 49¢ $10 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 45¢ $10 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 55¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 76¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 3h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 3h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 3h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 3h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 3h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 45¢ $10 3h
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 44¢ $10 3h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND BUY 18¢ $10 3h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 40¢ $10 3h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 3h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $10 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 3h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $10 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $10 3h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 3h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 3h
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele BUY Yes 45¢ $13 30h
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 72¢ $101 30h
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 84¢ $101 30h
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 94¢ $5 78d
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 78d
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 92¢ $2 88d
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th BUY Yes 26¢ $2 90d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 29 -92.9% -93.5% 3% 3% -91.2%
all 84 -4.2% -13.3% 48% 36% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.3% 36% -20.6%
10% -21.6% 32% -28.2%
15% -29.2% 25% -35.1%
20% -36.1% 20% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $492.11 · official $502.14 · 246 history records