trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 20 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 10% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 28 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 26 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Jun 14 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 12 | $173 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 28 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 19 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | May 16 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | May 11 | $87 | $0 | -1% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 18 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | Apr 12 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 07 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 04 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 29 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 20 | $176 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ma | Mar 17 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 15 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 13 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 12 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 06 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 04 | $88 | $0 | -0% |