trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 64% | 5% | -9.5% |
| all | 22 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 64% | 5% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.6% | 5% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -16.4% | 5% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -24.5% | 5% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -31.9% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 15? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19? | No | 98¢ | 76¢ | $2 | $1 | −$0 (-22%) |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19? | No | 98¢ | 67¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-32%) |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19? | No | 95¢ | 65¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-32%) |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$375 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19? | No | 98¢ | 71¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-28%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 15? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 15? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 15? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | May 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on April 21? | Apr 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 21? | Apr 23 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C or higher on April 21? | Apr 23 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 21? | Apr 23 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C or higher on April 21? | Apr 23 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 20 | $815 | $0 | +0% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 20 | $807 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $823 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 19? | Mar 20 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $805 | $0 | -0% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 20 | $733 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 20 | $771 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio | Mar 20 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi | Mar 20 | $828 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on March 19? | Mar 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | Mar 19 | $2 | +$1 | +43% |