Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:27:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0bf9…fd90
crypto · 903 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,499 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$587 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized−$587
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses474 / 499
Open positions1
Markets (closed)973 / 903
History coverage5d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day555.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 973 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13,928
7 days−$587
14 days−$587
30 days−$587
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 50¢ 48¢ $50 $48 −$2 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$20,116
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $44 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 973 -3.3% -12.5% 49% 49% -10.6%
≤30d 973 -3.3% -12.5% 49% 49% -10.6%
≤90d 973 -3.3% -12.5% 49% 49% -10.6%
all 973 -3.3% -12.5% 49% 49% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover555.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 49% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 49% -19.2%
15% -28.5% 49% -27.0%
20% -35.5% 49% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.50 · official $48.50 (match) · 3500 history records