Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:56:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0bf8…9225
crypto · 1139 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$460 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$585 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$585
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1033 / 105
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1138 / 1139
History coverage19d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day86.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 1138 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days−$585
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 42¢ 46¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $33 +$41 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +173%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $85 +$114 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $67 −$64 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$32 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$8 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$21 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$8 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$17 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$10 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$545
other 13% −$92
sports 1% +$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $33 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $17 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $8 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $85 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $67 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -20.8% -28.3% 36% 36% -8.2%
≤30d 1138 -2.2% -11.5% 91% 8% -10.4%
≤90d 1138 -2.2% -11.5% 91% 8% -10.4%
all 1138 -2.2% -11.5% 91% 8% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover86.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 8% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 4% -19.0%
15% -27.7% 3% -26.8%
20% -34.8% 3% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.08 · official $1.18 (match) · 2656 history records