Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:42:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0bf8…03b2
sports · 839 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$3,598 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,203 · open +$2,485
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$77,748
Realized+$1,203
Unrealized+$2,485
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses413 / 379
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$8,151
Open positions47
Markets (closed)792 / 839
History coverage231d
Avg bet$1,526
Trades / day11.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 47 History 792 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,877
7 days+$5,070
14 days+$435
30 days−$17,131
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 94¢ 100¢ $12,460 $13,304 +$844 (+7%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 88¢ 88¢ $13,074 $13,145 +$71 (+1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 94¢ 100¢ $11,864 $12,664 +$800 (+7%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 93¢ 100¢ $11,000 $11,837 +$837 (+8%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 93¢ 92¢ $9,360 $9,241 −$118 (-1%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $1,300 $1,327 +$27 (+2%)
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 80¢ 83¢ $800 $830 +$30 (+4%)
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 74¢ 76¢ $800 $825 +$25 (+3%)
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 64¢ 66¢ $800 $815 +$15 (+2%)
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 73¢ $800 $807 +$7 (+1%)
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $800 $795 −$5 (-1%)
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 79¢ 78¢ $800 $795 −$5 (-1%)
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 75¢ 73¢ $800 $779 −$21 (-3%)
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 69¢ $800 $774 −$26 (-3%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 11¢ $501 $686 +$185 (+37%)
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 60¢ 62¢ $600 $616 +$16 (+3%)
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 55¢ 64¢ $500 $581 +$81 (+16%)
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 60¢ 58¢ $600 $579 −$21 (-4%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 15¢ 16¢ $501 $521 +$20 (+4%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $501 $509 +$8 (+2%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $501 $491 −$10 (-2%)
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 51¢ 49¢ $500 $485 −$15 (-3%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $501 $468 −$34 (-7%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $494 $453 −$41 (-8%)
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 45¢ 40¢ $500 $447 −$53 (-11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,005 +$169 +3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,908 +$308 +11%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $162 −$160 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $232 +$101 +44%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $26 +$121 +474%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 11 $152 −$152 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 11 $11,333 −$11,333 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $26 −$25 -98%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Jun 11 $51 +$49 +96%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 11 $152 +$94 +62%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $107 +$117 +109%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $10,067 +$268 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $364 +$100 +27%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $11,051 +$1,978 +18%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $27,029 +$10,199 +38%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $12,627 +$410 +3%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $21,319 +$157 +1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $10,009 +$299 +3%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $11,093 +$152 +1%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $4,790 +$105 +2%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $7,227 +$95 +1%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $10,216 −$216 -2%
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $304 −$13 -4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $14,218 +$670 +5%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $10,013 +$424 +4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,004 +$172 +17%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $21,408 +$5,292 +25%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $20,006 +$211 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 06 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 06 $4,646 −$1,894 -41%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $12,148 −$4,323 -36%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Jun 06 $123 −$81 -66%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 06 $406 −$188 -46%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $18,351 +$600 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $14,718 +$964 +6%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,009 +$440 +44%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $30,023 +$769 +3%
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary Jun 05 $10,002 −$69 -1%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 05 $253 +$205 +81%
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 05 $261 −$261 -100%
LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $102 −$102 -100%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 05 $433 −$313 -72%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 05 $353 −$353 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 05 $507 −$326 -64%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5) Jun 05 $112 −$107 -96%
Spread: Slovenia (-1.5) Jun 04 $123 +$87 +70%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5 Jun 04 $3,147 +$41 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 04 $122 −$99 -82%
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs Jun 03 $1,403 +$102 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$5,032
other 1% +$631
tech 1% −$408
politics 1% −$321
world 1% −$1,018
crypto 0% −$284
weather 0% −$42
culture 0% +$99
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 94¢ $5,009 58m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 94¢ $5,009 58m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 98¢ $10,005 59m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 83¢ $1,005 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $1,203 1h
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 54¢ $176 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $202 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 95¢ $10,015 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $1,203 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 90¢ $1,003 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $309 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $86 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $262 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 97¢ $5,005 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 93¢ $1,403 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 92¢ $1,203 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 59¢ $152 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 75¢ $302 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $41 5h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $1 5h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $13 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $201 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $127 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $34 7h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $120 7h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $13 7h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $134 7h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $33 7h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $7 7h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $87 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +8.3% -2.0% 70% 32% -7.8%
≤30d 259 -6.9% -15.7% 54% 37% -11.0%
≤90d 758 -9.9% -18.5% 51% 43% -9.6%
all 792 -5.1% -14.2% 52% 44% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.4 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 44% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 38% -18.1%
15% -29.9% 32% -26.0%
20% -36.8% 24% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $77,747.51 · official $77,748.70 (match) · 3452 history records