Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0be3…35fe
sports · 1092 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,849 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,842 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized−$1,842
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses992 / 95
Whale WR (big bets)93%
Est. fees paid−$92
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1087 / 1092
History coverage40d
Avg bet$138
Trades / day69.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 5 History 1087 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$541
7 days−$396
14 days−$3,168
30 days−$2,445
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Haiti (-2.5) Scotland 99¢ 99¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? Yes 93¢ 94¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Los Angeles Thieves 95¢ 58¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-39%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 91¢ 23¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-75%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 82¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 80¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13? No 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - OCS China Stage 2 Seeding Decider Matches Weibo Gaming 98¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Enrico Dalla Valle 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $2 $0 +11%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $24 +$1 +6%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $12 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Overwatch: LuneX Gaming vs The Kafe (BO3) - OCS North America Stage 2 Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5) Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5) Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $18 +$1 +4%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5) Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Spread: Qatar (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5) Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $57 +$1 +2%
Rainbow Six Siege: LOUD vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO1) - South America Lea Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 $0 +21%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $57 +$3 +6%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED Leagu Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $124 −$118 -95%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $98 +$27 +27%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Sp Jun 13 $7 +$1 +10%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $68 −$68 -99%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$1 +35%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $79 +$5 +6%
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Gatorian (BO3) - ROG Journey Play Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 13 $24 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $31 +$3 +11%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $29 +$2 +6%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 62% −$2,144
sports 37% +$231
politics 1% +$34
other 0% +$24
weather 0% −$8
world 0% +$10
finance 0% +$3
culture 0% $0
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Under 93¢ $12 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY Los Angeles Thieves 95¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju SELL No 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on Ju SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) SELL Brazil 100¢ $5 1h
Overwatch: LuneX Gaming vs The Kafe (BO3) - OCS North America Stage 2 SELL LuneX Gaming 100¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 BUY Under 95¢ $20 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 BUY Under 93¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 BUY Under 93¢ $2 1h
Overwatch: LuneX Gaming vs The Kafe (BO3) - OCS North America Stage 2 BUY LuneX Gaming 99¢ $10 1h
Spread: Haiti (-2.5) BUY Scotland 99¢ $16 2h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 90¢ $2 2h
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5) SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 100¢ $10 2h
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5) SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 100¢ $5 2h
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 100¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 100¢ $11 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 100¢ $19 2h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Brazil 97¢ $15 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY Yes 93¢ $10 2h
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5) SELL San Diego Padres 100¢ $5 2h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 97¢ $5 2h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Morocco 96¢ $2 2h
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5) SELL Cleveland Guardians 100¢ $5 2h
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5) SELL Cleveland Guardians 100¢ $10 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $11 2h
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) BUY Brazil 99¢ $5 3h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Lucia Bronzetti 100¢ $5 3h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 96¢ $8 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Team Liquid 90¢ $10 3h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 96¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 251 -4.9% -14.0% 86% 21% -17.0%
≤30d 941 -2.8% -12.1% 91% 14% -11.6%
≤90d 1087 -1.9% -11.3% 91% 13% -10.6%
all 1087 -1.9% -11.3% 91% 13% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 13% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 4% -19.2%
15% -27.5% 2% -27.0%
20% -34.6% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.61 · official $43.61 (match) · 3500 history records