trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +27.4% | +15.3% | 54% | 46% | +44.5% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +21.5% | +9.9% | 53% | 47% | +12.6% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +14.7% | +3.7% | 50% | 45% | -23.8% |
| all | 22 | +13.9% | +3.1% | 50% | 45% | -21.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.1% | 45% | -21.3% |
| 10% | -6.8% | 32% | -28.8% |
| 15% | -15.8% | 32% | -35.7% |
| 20% | -24.0% | 23% | -42.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $638 | $481 | −$157 (-25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $125 | +$254 | +204% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $30 | +$11 | +36% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $356 | +$270 | +76% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $133 | −$131 | -99% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $72 | +$61 | +85% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | Jun 15 | $19 | +$55 | +294% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | Jun 15 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | Jun 15 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $6 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $18 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $11 | −$2 | -15% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$3 | -25% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $66 | −$4 | -6% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $31 | +$11 | +36% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $773 | +$607 | +78% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $560 | −$557 | -99% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 13 | $205 | −$5 | -2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | Apr 13 | $5 | +$1 | +17% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Apr 12 | $1,316 | −$1,142 | -87% |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? | Nov 15 | $200 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 01 | $300 | +$40 | +13% |