Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:04:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0B 0x0bd7…20f2 crypto 1530 markets active 2h ago coverage 35d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (69 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$140 (-3%) realized −$140 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate50%736W / 738L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day68.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$47
7 days+$78
14 days+$84
30 days−$102
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$93
world 1% +$4
other 1% +$4
politics 0% −$5
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (69 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 294 +4.3% -5.6% 51% 45% -3.6%
≤30d 1368 -5.8% -14.7% 51% 44% -12.1%
≤90d 1474 -7.1% -16.0% 50% 43% -11.7%
all 1474 -7.1% -16.0% 50% 43% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover68.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 43% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 34% -20.2%
15% -31.4% 25% -27.9%
20% -38.1% 18% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.93 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$140
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses736 / 738
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1474 / 1530
History coverage35d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day68.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1474 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$5 +144%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$4 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +127%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$4 +270%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +146%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$7 +287%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $7 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2955 history records