| Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026? |
Jun 21 |
$3 |
+$8 |
+255% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? |
Jun 21 |
$101 |
−$18 |
-18% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? |
Jun 21 |
$1,399 |
+$273 |
+20% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? |
Jun 21 |
$1,018 |
−$102 |
-10% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June |
Jun 20 |
$17 |
+$1 |
+8% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 |
Jun 20 |
$200 |
+$37 |
+18% |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? |
Jun 20 |
$20 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30? |
Jun 20 |
$300 |
+$13 |
+4% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? |
Jun 19 |
$101 |
+$1 |
+1% |
| Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20? |
Jun 19 |
$300 |
−$17 |
-6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? |
Jun 19 |
$500 |
+$49 |
+10% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? |
Jun 19 |
$10 |
−$5 |
-53% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 |
Jun 18 |
$200 |
−$50 |
-25% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? |
Jun 17 |
$120 |
−$30 |
-25% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? |
Jun 17 |
$4,162 |
−$434 |
-10% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? |
Jun 16 |
$200 |
+$5 |
+2% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? |
Jun 15 |
$2,000 |
+$349 |
+17% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? |
Jun 14 |
$436 |
+$55 |
+13% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? |
Jun 14 |
$500 |
+$231 |
+46% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? |
Jun 14 |
$500 |
+$130 |
+26% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? |
Jun 14 |
$120 |
+$114 |
+95% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 |
Jun 13 |
$122 |
−$22 |
-18% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026? |
Jun 13 |
$15 |
+$1 |
+9% |
| Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? |
Jun 10 |
$12 |
−$1 |
-9% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? |
Jun 06 |
$7,687 |
+$130 |
+2% |
| Will Justin Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey? |
Jun 03 |
$22 |
+$6 |
+27% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? |
Jun 01 |
$2,880 |
+$938 |
+33% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27? |
May 28 |
$3 |
−$3 |
-100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? |
May 27 |
$2,510 |
+$224 |
+9% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? |
May 25 |
$1,596 |
+$29 |
+2% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap |
May 25 |
$493 |
−$8 |
-2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? |
May 23 |
$5 |
+$78 |
+1562% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? |
May 23 |
$2,518 |
+$1 |
+0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? |
May 23 |
$2,503 |
+$72 |
+3% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026? |
May 22 |
$201 |
+$4 |
+2% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
May 22 |
$404 |
−$25 |
-6% |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)? |
May 21 |
$130 |
−$4 |
-3% |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? |
May 21 |
$24 |
−$1 |
-3% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? |
May 21 |
$803 |
+$53 |
+7% |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the |
May 20 |
$68 |
+$12 |
+17% |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026? |
May 20 |
$61 |
+$13 |
+20% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18? |
May 19 |
$1,500 |
+$89 |
+6% |
| Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026? |
May 18 |
$12 |
+$9 |
+70% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
May 17 |
$262 |
+$26 |
+10% |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026? |
May 17 |
$21 |
+$1 |
+3% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? |
May 16 |
$1,003 |
+$42 |
+4% |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? |
May 16 |
$103 |
−$87 |
-84% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? |
May 16 |
$1,000 |
+$7 |
+1% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? |
May 12 |
$1,373 |
−$12 |
-1% |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? |
May 02 |
$21 |
−$21 |
-100% |