Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:36:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0bce…2379
crypto · 739 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$442 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$438 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$438
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses449 / 289
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions1
Markets (closed)738 / 739
History coverage57d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day25.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 738 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$64
7 days−$159
14 days−$159
30 days−$308
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs aimclub 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 47¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 65¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 67¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 60¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $35 −$35 -99%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 12 $20 +$18 +91%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $19 +$10 +54%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $94 −$94 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $28 +$32 +114%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $62 +$47 +76%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $76 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +34%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $118 +$17 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +25%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $61 +$29 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $46 +$30 +65%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $39 +$7 +19%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $23 +$17 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$198
sports 31% −$241
world 0% −$2
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY aimclub 22¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 82¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 60¢ $35 18h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) SELL Spirit 99¢ $38 18h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) BUY Spirit 51¢ $20 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 23¢ $10 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $30 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 64¢ $19 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 65¢ $50 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 47¢ $81 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 47¢ $4 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 47¢ $4 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 47¢ $4 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 47¢ $1 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $60 22h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $60 22h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $110 22h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 46¢ $28 24h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 99¢ $59 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 24h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 55¢ $7 24h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 55¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 55¢ $4 24h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 55¢ $6 24h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 55¢ $4 24h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 55¢ $5 24h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 55¢ $7 24h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 45¢ $27 24h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 71¢ $43 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -24.3% -31.5% 55% 55% -20.9%
≤30d 488 -18.1% -25.9% 62% 60% -18.7%
≤90d 738 -15.3% -23.4% 61% 59% -18.7%
all 738 -15.3% -23.4% 61% 59% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.4% 59% -18.7%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 41% -26.5%
15% -37.4% 10% -33.6%
20% -43.5% 4% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 2148 history records