Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:17:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0B 0x0bc9…5bcd crypto 190 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (284 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$72 (-6%) realized −$72 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate44%84W / 106L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day284.0pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$116
other 1% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (284 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-23.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 190 -15.3% -23.3% 44% 44% -18.9%
≤30d 190 -15.3% -23.3% 44% 44% -18.9%
≤90d 190 -15.3% -23.3% 44% 44% -18.9%
all 190 -15.3% -23.3% 44% 44% -18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover284.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.3% 44% -18.9%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 44% -26.6%
15% -37.4% 43% -33.7%
20% -43.5% 43% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -35% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$6 · ×1.01 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$72
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses84 / 106
Open positions0
Markets (closed)190 / 190
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day284.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 190 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +84%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +78%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +81%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$14 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$17 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +91%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$9 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 474 history records