trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -8.0% | -16.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -8.0% | -16.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -8.0% | -16.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 24 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.3% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -20.7% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -28.3% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -35.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $208 | $208 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $199 | $198 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $2 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $178 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | -19% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $368 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | -16% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $179 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | -17% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $159 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | -19% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $219 | $0 | -0% |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | Feb 02 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? | Feb 02 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 27 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | Jan 27 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 20 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no | Jan 20 | $396 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 19 | $553 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | Jan 19 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 19 | $357 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Jan 19 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 16 | $431 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | Jan 15 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair? | Jan 15 | $906 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 13 | $498 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 12 | $499 | −$1 | -0% |