Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:12:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0baa…e36c
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$7
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses2 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 7
History coverage2d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day8.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit29%
Chart Positions 1 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 60¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$6 -62%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$7 +34%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -7%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $9 −$5 -51%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 82% −$4
crypto 12% −$1
sports 6% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 15h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $20 15h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 93¢ $12 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 74¢ $10 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 72¢ $15 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $11 45h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 87¢ $10 45h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 48¢ $9 45h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 45h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 45h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 14¢ $4 45h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 45h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 16¢ $4 45h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 45h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-31.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -24.8% -31.9% 33% 33% -19.7%
≤30d 6 -24.8% -31.9% 33% 33% -19.7%
≤90d 6 -24.8% -31.9% 33% 33% -19.7%
all 6 -24.8% -31.9% 33% 33% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.9% 33% -19.7%
10% -38.4% 17% -27.4%
15% -44.4% 0% -34.4%
20% -49.8% 0% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.80 · official $18.80 (match) · 17 history records