Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:44:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0baa…fad5
other · 250 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$88 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$88
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses19 / 231
Whale WR (big bets)4%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)250 / 250
History coverage135d
Avg bet$222
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 250 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$18
14 days−$28
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $338 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 13 $530 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $245 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $519 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $126 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $132 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $140 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $773 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $619 +$2 +0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $154 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $408 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $306 −$1 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $63 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $63 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $394 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $305 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $785 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $223 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $138 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $399 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $508 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $159 −$3 -2%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $434 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $65 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $855 −$2 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $136 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $355 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $411 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 06 $409 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $465 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $137 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 06 $297 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $358 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $467 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $566 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 04 $517 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $439 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $266 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $550 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 02 $730 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 02 $216 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $849 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $588 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 31 $782 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $243 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $233 $0 -0%
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? May 29 $223 −$1 -0%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 29 $142 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $399 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $923 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$38
sports 25% −$23
politics 8% −$6
culture 5% −$6
economics 5% −$7
crypto 5% −$4
world 4% −$4
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $61 1h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $62 3h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $62 3h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $62 4h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $62 13h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $62 15h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $62 19h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $62 21h
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $15 21h
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $47 22h
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $62 23h
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $62 26h
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $62 27h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $62 32h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $62 34h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $62 36h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $62 38h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $62 39h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $62 41h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $62 2d
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $63 2d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $63 2d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $63 2d
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $60 3d
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $3 3d
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $63 3d
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $63 3d
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $63 3d
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $63 3d
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $63 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 65 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 183 -0.2% -9.7% 6% 0% -9.7%
all 250 -0.2% -9.7% 8% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1393 history records