Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0ba9…8098
other · 12 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$51 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized−$45
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses2 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)8 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day12.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit17%
Chart Positions 4 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45
7 days−$45
14 days−$45
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 76¢ 76¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 80¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 44¢ $20 $15 −$5 (-23%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Under 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $120 +$7 +6%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +109%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$1 -11%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$16 -80%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$6 -55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% −$48
sports 47% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 55m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 76¢ $20 56m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $128 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 94¢ $120 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 21¢ $10 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Under 68¢ $10 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $20 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL 47¢ $9 19h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $20 20h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 83¢ $20 20h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $4 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 25¢ $5 27h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $20 27h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 29h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 51¢ $10 32h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-47.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -41.4% -47.0% 25% 12% -28.7%
≤30d 8 -41.4% -47.0% 25% 12% -28.7%
≤90d 8 -41.4% -47.0% 25% 12% -28.7%
all 8 -41.4% -47.0% 25% 12% -28.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -47.0% 12% -28.7%
10% -52.1% 12% -35.5%
15% -56.7% 12% -41.7%
20% -61.0% 12% -47.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.06 · official $59.06 (match) · 18 history records