Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T11:51:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0B 0x0b99…8bdd sports 165 markets active 0h ago coverage 37d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 36d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (94 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$70,933 (+24%) realized +$70,933 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate82%135W / 30L
Whale WR88%big bets
Drawdown5%max
Avg bet$1,823per market
Trades / day94.0pace
Fees−$5,072est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 37d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$20,449
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (94 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-1.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +1.0% -8.7% 80% 0% -8.9%
≤30d 99 +9.8% -0.7% 82% 19% -3.8%
≤90d 165 +8.8% -1.6% 82% 25% -3.4%
all 165 +8.8% -1.6% 82% 25% -3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover94.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.6% 25% -3.4%
10% -11.0% 10% -12.6%
15% ← realistic here -19.6% 5% -21.1%
20% -27.5% 2% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
67% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +9% · $-wt +7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 88% (≥$2,566) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +11% → late +7% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
8.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$175 vs −$105 · ×1.66 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×7.49 per $1 lost it wins $7.49
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$70,933
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses135 / 30
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Est. fees paid−$5,072
Open positions0
Markets (closed)165 / 165
History coverage37d ⚠
Avg bet$1,823
Trades / day94.0
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 165 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner Jun 22 $616 −$67 -11%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner Jun 22 $216 +$2 +1%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner Jun 22 $378 +$14 +4%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia C Jun 22 $193 +$5 +2%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 19 $702 +$60 +9%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $351 +$2 +1%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $4,951 +$40 +1%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2,002 +$159 +8%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $4,520 +$300 +7%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $8,565 +$385 +4%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $4,656 +$199 +4%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $3,027 +$45 +2%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $6,173 +$1,528 +25%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $2,958 +$36 +1%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $358 −$250 -70%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $2,887 −$169 -6%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $4,309 −$686 -16%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $552 +$29 +5%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3,563 +$53 +2%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $396 +$325 +82%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $136 +$5 +4%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $2,039 +$78 +4%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $3,721 +$79 +2%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $2,784 +$577 +21%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $3,572 −$34 -1%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,941 +$110 +6%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $5,140 +$526 +10%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $1,276 +$20 +2%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $3,928 +$108 +3%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $1,421 +$334 +24%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $2,476 −$38 -2%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $3,889 +$267 +7%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $735 −$1 -0%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $310 +$89 +29%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $182 +$1 +0%
LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - NLC Playoffs Jun 01 $383 +$4 +1%
LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $208 +$26 +12%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $843 −$20 -2%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $109 +$7 +7%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $1,210 +$93 +8%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner May 30 $1,164 −$342 -29%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner May 30 $5,847 +$340 +6%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 30 $2,600 −$402 -16%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $6,027 +$413 +7%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $8,498 +$2,241 +26%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $1,663 +$368 +22%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $160 +$78 +49%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $2,260 +$108 +5%
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $2,077 +$233 +11%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $3,932 +$331 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 83¢ $0 28m
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner SELL Virtus.pro 12¢ $2 28m
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 35¢ $6 29m
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner SELL Inner Circle 82¢ $369 38m
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 87¢ $215 39m
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 87¢ $7 39m
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 87¢ $167 39m
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 87¢ $3 39m
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner SELL Inner Circle 40¢ $178 53m
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 48¢ $217 54m
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 72¢ $124 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 72¢ $0 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 72¢ $5 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 72¢ $89 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 75¢ $0 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 71¢ $216 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 86¢ $5 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 87¢ $50 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 87¢ $5 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 87¢ $9 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 87¢ $17 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 87¢ $192 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 87¢ $4 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 87¢ $89 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 88¢ $6 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 88¢ $10 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 90¢ $5 2h
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 83¢ $378 2h
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia C SELL Grind Back 94¢ $4 2h
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia C BUY Grind Back 93¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records