trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 52% | 26% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 26% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 15% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -25.8% | 11% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 11% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 55¢ | 58¢ | $4 | $5 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju | Jun 19 | $211 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 19 | $200 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? | Apr 24 | $250 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 24 | $240 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Apr 24 | $220 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $290 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 17 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 17 | $70 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 16 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31, 2025? | Feb 13 | $1 | $0 | +28% |
| Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 2026 Critics | Feb 13 | $2 | $0 | +12% |
| US defaults on debt in 2025? | Feb 13 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by November 30? | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be les | Nov 25 | $2 | +$1 | +56% |
| Will Russia enter Kostyantynivka by October 31? | Nov 12 | $2 | −$1 | -45% |
| Will Vegas Matt be profitable: Week of October 12 | Oct 23 | $2 | $0 | +13% |
| Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September? | Oct 09 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals? | Jul 07 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down – May 31 (2 PM ET Candle) | Jul 07 | $6 | +$4 | +70% |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21? | May 31 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year? | May 31 | $5 | +$3 | +56% |
| Will the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C? | Feb 18 | $3 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference? | Dec 23 | $295 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Scotland beat Portugal? | Dec 20 | $20 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? | Oct 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election? | Oct 15 | $12 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024? | Aug 09 | $184 | +$21 | +12% |