trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 48¢ | 48¢ | $138 | $139 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Qatar | 42¢ | 38¢ | $49 | $45 | −$4 (-8%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 91¢ | 90¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 94¢ | 94¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 77¢ | $2 | $4 | +$1 (+54%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 23¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-54%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huergo/Radisic vs. Gorgodze/Karamoko: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner | Jun 10 | $5 | $0 | +7% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 08 | $75 | −$13 | -17% |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Jun 08 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | Jun 08 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 08 | $150 | −$22 | -15% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 08 | $5 | −$3 | -57% |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 15? | Jun 07 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 07 | $20 | +$5 | +23% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 07 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner | Jun 07 | $5 | +$9 | +172% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 3? | Jun 03 | $20 | −$1 | -3% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 45% | 18% | -21.3% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 42% | 17% | -20.7% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 42% | 17% | -20.7% |
| all | 12 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 42% | 17% | -20.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 17% | -20.7% |
| 10% | -17.3% | 17% | -28.3% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 8% | -35.2% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 8% | -41.6% |